worst defense to win super bowl

A smart strategy? Top 5 in both points for and against, the Vikings 10-win record kept them from being higher on this list. This is the first game on this list that was actually competitive going into the fourth quarter, but it was a sloppy affair featuring seven fumbles and a pair of interceptions. Rookie head coaches and rookie quarterbacks don't typically generate Super Bowl contenders. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. This Super Bowl had it all: An underdog story (Nick Foles), a memorable play (Philly Special), a controversial coaching decision (Belichick benching Malcolm Butler), a ton of points (a record 74 points combined!) WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. The problem is that for the first time in years, the Patriots have a brutal schedule. Philly was actually favored before the game, but Oakland made the betting line look silly early on, getting out to a 21-3 lead. Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on every show on the network. ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football -- and about the chances of each team's success -- which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. However, these NFL teams should not be tossed aside because they lost the Super Bowl. San Francisco's three games based on last year's standings are against the Eagles, Bengals and Falcons, who all rank 24th or worse in FPI. Peyton Manning was on another level this season, leading his offense to score a jarring 37.9 points per game, but the team around him was lacking. If Watson doesn't play in 2021, the Texans will be competing for the top overall pick in the 2022 draft. As the tweet said, only 28 players have achieved that in the last decade-plus. The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. Chark will help Lawrence out immensely, especially with James Robinson, Carlos Hyde, and Travis Etienne capable of creating a balanced rushing attack. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. Adding Patrick Peterson, Xavier Woods, Sheldon Richardsonand Dalvin Tomlinson in free agency improves this unit -- which also gets Danielle Hunter back from a neck injury. Finishing 133 and a high-energy offense by Sean McVay, the Rams were a force to be reckoned with. This 1969 Minnesota Vikings team was elite and ranked first for both points scored and points against. Here is a quarterback guru who never could quite develop a quarterback as a head coach. That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. The AFC West belongs to the Kansas City Chiefs, but second place is there for the taking. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. The Bears defensive dominance made a 36-point laugher worth watching. Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. Some may argue this should be higher than third, but, before Scott Norwoods infamous miss, the Giants and Bills did not give us a very exciting game. A 124 record and a solid defense? John Elway finally won his ring in a well-played game that featured one of the best performances by a running back in Super Bowl history. Please check your email for a confirmation. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. Houston Texans +20000 (bet $10 to win $2010 total), Lowest win total on the board, uncertainty at QB, and a defense that cant stop a nose bleed.. https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/01/2019-super-bowl-rankings-best-to-worst, a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs, Anthony Richardson showed off his freakish athleticism by breaking 2 NFL Combine records, Joey Porter Jr. shared a wholesome moment with dad Joey Porter at 2023 NFL Combine, Will Levis finally shared the origin story for his mayo coffee, How to watch the NFL Combine, live stream, TV channel, Quarterbacks, Receivers, Tight Ends, Bryce Young's measurements at the NFL Combine are almost identical to Kyler Murray's, C.J. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. Unfortunately, they had to go head-to-head with arguably the greatest defense of all-time in the '85 Bears. We've been projecting preseason chances to get the top draft picks only since 2018, but no team has entered the year more likely to walk away from the No. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. This game mightve been higher on the list if the Jets hadnt pulled off the AFL-NFL upset the prior season. New Orleans Saints +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), The most puzzling number on the board, as Im much lower on the Saints than this.. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. It did earn him a bunch of money. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. But even with all that, its not even the best Super Bowl of the last two years. Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. Arizona Cardinals +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Yes, they got older with J.J. Watt and A.J. The game that gave us all of those 28-3 jokes. In the end, FPI's projections for the Colts are not all that bad; they have a 44% chance to win the AFC South (second to the Titans) and a 59% shot to make the postseason. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. The Kansas City Chiefs, winners of Super Bowl 57, are the favorites at +600. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. However, like most teams on this list, the Steelers had one glaring deficiency: the passing game. It has been updated to include Super Bowl LII. Here they are ranked: It was a lot of fun to research these teams to remember just how good they were their respective seasons. "Broadway Joe" completed just 49.2 percent of his passes during the season and threw two more interceptions (17) than he did touchdowns (15). This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings. Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. In a season without a normal offseason due to the pandemic, the 142 defending champs looked like easy Super Bowl favorites. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. They also secured the first ring in franchise history. Forget about Super Bowl history, this was one of the best games in the history of American sports. Both teams have two of the most talented rosters in the league and look to make an even deeper playoff run -- finally attempting to end title droughts that have lasted more than a half-century. More NFL coverage . Ah, the iconic image of Trent Dilfer hoisting his arms in victory. A.J. Winning close games and narrowly escaping the agony of defeat is one way to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and while that path may not be the most exciting or exhilarating, it has been traveled on multiple occasions. Why? Bart Starr won MVP with only 13 completions. What Allen accomplished in 2020 was MVP-caliber, even if he didn't take home the league's highest individual honor. Miami Dolphins +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), Miami led the NFL in two categories that they are unlikely to duplicate: takeaways (29) and 3rd down defense (31%); they were also seventh in red zone defense. From Devin Hester to an elite defense led by Brian Urlacher, this team earned their spot on the biggest stage. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. Los Angeles Chargers +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), The world loves the Chargers after Justin Herberts incredible rookie year (record-setting 31 TDs). A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. A solid team all around, but more importantly, proficient on offense and defense. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. That's right, a team with Jerry Rice had a running back gain more receiving yards. The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. 10. The teams combined for 11 turnovers. Joe Montanas first Super Bowl win was nearly squandered after the 49ers let the Bengals nearly erase a 20-point deficit. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. It's all about the schedule. Three different QBs started six games. The Panthers and Patriots gave us the most exciting fourth quarter in Super Bowl history, combining for five scores, including an 85-yard pass by Jake Delhomme, which remains a Super Bowl record, and Adam Vinatieris game-winning kick as time expired. This was a great Super Bowl, but can we stop saying the Titans were one yard short of winning it? A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. This isn't entirely a reflection on them, though FPI is never particularly bullish on rookie quarterbacks. That decision is based on two factors: Garoppolo is generally believed to be the favorite over rookie No. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. Aaron Rodgers hasnt been back since 2011., The Chiefs have gone to two straight. 3 overall pick Trey Lance entering the season. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? With an 11-2-1 record, this group was one of many Vikings teams that should have won the big game. Both Cowboys-Bills Super Bowl were blowouts, but this one was at least competitive into the third quarter. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. New England Patriots +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), If Bill Belichick can figure out his QB, the Patriots are going to be extremely dangerous. This team just wasn't ready yet. Kansas City will be this team's measuring stick, as the Chiefs are the only roster more talented than Buffalo's in the AFC. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. The NFL regular season begins in just days. Phil Simms set the record for completion percentage after finishing 22-of-25 in an MVP effort. What makes a great Super Bowl? Jacksonville was the worst team in the league last year, but the Jaguars were competitive in half of their games (seven of their losses were by one score). The team that benefited from Norwood's egregious error, the New York Giants, was not particularly exceptional. 1 pick. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | Along with quarterback Earl Morrall, the Colts defense was the best in the league, only giving up 10.3 points per game. What puts Baltimore on this list is the lack of offensive prowess. The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. Buffalo has a top 10 pass defense led by one of the game's best cornerbacks in Tre'Davious White and Pro Bowl snub Jordan Poyer, but the run defense has to improve to beat a team like Kansas City. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. The Doomsday Defense vs. the Orange Crush ended up being a forgettable, one-sided affair. Minnesota Vikings +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total), I want to like Minnesota as a buy-low team after rebuilding its defense.. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. W. 23-20. Check out the full strength of schedule rankings here. Brown (+1800) Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+2200) DeVonta Smith, WR, Eagles (+3000) Haason Reddick, LB, Eagles (+3000) Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+4000) Article. This would have been yet another classic Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowl if Neil ODonnell didnt throw the game away. Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. It is not that these teams were not deserving of a Super Bowl, but rather that they do not stack up when compared to the greatest units the NFL has ever seen. Super Bowl MVP Pick. The game was expected to be a blowout Green Bay was favored by 13.5 points and it was. At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. Bradshaw would go on to complete just 67 passes for 785 yards, seven touchdowns and eight interceptions in his limited action. Kam Chancellor should have been MVP. To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). So, which teams have won it all, but look inferior to their championship brethren in retrospect? Even the worst of the second-place teams showed they could have won it all. Eli Manning did it to the Patriots again. and quarterback rating (112.4). This is my ranking of the best bets you can make on who will win Super Bowl 56 starting with the teams I absolutely would not recommend putting even a dollar on (with all odds via FOX Bet). Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Let's dive into the 2021 FPI projections with the 10 biggest takeaways. The only team in the division with a positive FPI rating -- making it above average -- is the Dallas Cowboys, who are just barely there at +0.7 (meaning they would be favored over an average NFL team by less than a point). And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. This was actually the closest one they played. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. An 11-5 record was good enough for first place in the AFC East, yet New England was 5-5 through 10 games. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. The Bengals should be better, but they aren't close to competing for a championship yet -- especially residing in the AFC North. Which is a shame, because this 11-4-1 team had a defense that was really impressive throughout the year. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. Now, by most accounts, the Steelers were great in 1974. FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. Gruden did bring the Raiders back from almost a decade of ineptness and he did win a Super Bowl against the Raiders, but the rest of his career he was pretty much a .500 coach. Between free agency and players opting back in from 2020, New England had a massive talent infusion.. Love the defense, which is good enough to vault Washington to the playoffs again. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. The Jaguars are going to be better than the 1-15 team that played last year, and could actually contend for eight or nine wins if the defense becomes a top 20 unit (ranked 31st in points and yards allowed in 2020). A 142 season, and the best offense in the league led by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, Torry Holt, and Isaac Bruce. 1980 was also the final year of "Stickum" being allowed in the NFL, and cornerback Lester Hayes used it to his full advantage, reeling off 18 interceptions in 20 games. Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt, carrying an offense that finished 31st in the league in rushing. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. Dallas Cowboys +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Realistically, Dallas is in the second tier of teams that could win the Super Bowl.. The least memorable of the Giants four Super Bowl wins also happened to be their most dominant. This may not be the worst championship team of all time, but these Steelers werebarely ataste ofthe greatness that wasto come in the following years. To handle the uncertainty in the timing of Wentz's return, FPI gives the QB a very small chance to play in Week 1 and gradually increases the chance of his return until Week 8 -- spanning the range of the recovery timeline laid out last week by coach Frank Reich. Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. So their overall grade suffered. Well, they blew their lead in the big game, but they also weren't a great defensive team. WebPer Reuters, the NFL issued a cease-and-desist order to a Las Vegas law firm over a Super Bowl commercial featuring Raiders DE Maxx Crosby. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. US residents can opt out of "sales" of personal data. Buffalo also addedEmmanuel Sanders to the mix, making the passing game even more formidable. CB | Safety | OT | Interior OL Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Division favorites, win totals and the NFL's best (and worst) teams: Takeaways from the 2021 projections, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? They stole all-pro center Corey Linsley from the Packers and drafted Rashawn Slater in the first round.. WebAbout Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. And the NFC South doesn't have any other teams ranked in FPI's top 10. The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. For starters, the NFC has nine road games this season, so a team from that conference was always likely to occupy the top spot. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing 32. You can follow him on Twitter at @jasonrmcintyre. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. Reporting on what you care about. They're the fifth-best team in football and have the fourth-best chance to win it all with a 6% shot, according to FPI. The defense wasn't that much better either, finishing 27th in points allowed, 30th in yards allowed, and recorded the fewest turnovers in the league. Philadelphia Eagles +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. Chicago Bears +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total). Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. 12. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. The aforementioned Dilfer-led passing game ranked only 23rd in the regular season (in fairness to Dilfer, he did replace Tony Banks midway through the year), and the only time the chains seemed to move was when rookie Jamal Lewis barreled forward for three or four yards. There's enough depth to get by. And while the effect isn't dramatic, they would each be a little better off if the other weren't around. This unit -- like the offense -- has the potential to be an elite group. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks all rank in the top half of the most difficult schedules. Buffalo is in position to make another deep playoff run this season. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Bengals will be improved, but theyre not higher on this list for three reasons:. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. It's what helps people grow. Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). Thats NFL history. Again, this is all dependent on how Darnold plays. The Falcons still have Matt Ryan at quarterback, who has thrown for the most passing yards in the league over the last three years and has a emerging star in Calvin Ridley and a game-changing tight end in rookie first-rounderKyle Pitts. Burrow should be ready by Week 1, and has an impressive cast of receivers that will make the Bengals passing game even more lethal in 2021. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. Buffalo Bills +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total), They went 15-2 against teams not named the Kansas City Chiefs last year, but via Warren Sharp, heres an incredible stat: The Bills had the good fortune of facing three West Coast teams last season at 1 p.m. If Murray can stay healthy, the sky's the limit for this team. But itll face Justin Herbert, Josh Allen, Matt Ryan, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers before Halloween. And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. So its only fitting that the winner of Super Bowl 53 will have a defense that finished the regular season below the league average. The game may have been bad, but this is NFL history. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant The best chance they had and they were wide right. Unfortunately, they lost both starting tackles for the Super Bowl and could not stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beast-mode pass rush. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. 3. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. If Atlanta can create holes up front for free agent signing Mike Davis, the Falcons offense may be good enough to carry a defense that needs some work. Super Bowl VIII: 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? The "Greatest Show On Turf" was the potential dynasty derailed by New England Patriots. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. He had one season without Peyton and went 2-14 leading to his firing and the start of the Luck era. The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. Herbert will have more protection to connect with a talented cast of offensive weapons as the Chargers rebuilt their offensive line centered around All-Pro Corey Linsley and first-round pick Rashawn Slater. The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. With Aaron Rodgers' future in limbo, the Vikings could be primed to win the NFC North. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. This game did feature one of the best defenses in NFL history, but watching it dismantle a Kerry Collins-led offense wasnt all that exciting. 16. The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. In a 17-game slate, the division matters that much less compared to strength of schedule. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. Four teams have yet to even reach the Super Bowl (two of them started as a franchise after 1990). Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. Slightly. Let us first acknowledge that four future Hall of Famers were drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers in 1974 (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, John Stallworth and Mike Webster). Those questions need to be answered in a division where the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers defenses reside. Kansas City's middling defense (No. and Im sorry, but Dan Campbell is not winning the Super Bowl this year., 30. A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams.

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